Brexit thread

Discussion in 'The Pavilion' started by pat, Jan 28, 2019.

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  1. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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  2. s_h_a_f
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    s_h_a_f Whispering Death

    Dec 26, 2011
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    The whole thing is a farce. Me thinks the Govt does not want to leave..hence beating around the bush.
     
  3. godzilla
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    godzilla Talented

    May 12, 2016
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    I don't think theres any chance a hard Brexit is avoided at this point. both sides were incompetent in making their cases, but we are where we are. the government has obviously been either breathtakingly incompetent at getting to this point, which I think is the greatest likelihood, or deliberately brought us to a point of no deal on the brink, to force a reappraisal of the deal.

    I cant see how the EU can back down over their position now, and I cant see how parliament can pass what looks like an atrocious deal. so hard brexit it is.

    there will no doubt be tonnes of scaremongering about what will happen, and who knows hat will happen as a result of a hard brexit, suspect it wil be tough, but the doomsday scenario that is being presented, and ultimately over time, things normalise and clever and greedy people will figure out how to fix things.

    the upshot is that this era will hopefully mark the death of traditional politics and the way that the hoi poloi have been hoodwinked by the political class for centuries.

    most of the parliamentarians on all sides do not deserve to be there.
     
  4. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Trying to figure what UK is trying to do.

    UK seems to want the benefit of single market EU trade rules without having to allow people movement.

    and as a 3rd party with stake in this, UK seems utterly confused about his whole thing.

    1) It doesn't look like the public knew what they were voting for or what the consequences are

    2) the party which wanted this, the Tory's have no clue which side of the bridge they want to jump off from.

    EU is not going to budge on the separate customs thing. Is Dover set up to handle this in 60 days?

    Is UK going to wave the trucks thru? If it does, it means EU will have no problem with its exports. If it doesn't, UK supply chain is going to be f'd up.

    EU is not going to wave the trucks thru' at calais. This will screw UK exports.

    Sounds like UK hasn't game planned this at all!
     
  5. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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  6. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    so May is trying to run out the clock.

    Do aam admi brits care?
     
  7. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    the more I hear the common brits speak, dumber they sound

     
  8. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    here is hoping britain crashes out of EU and brexiteers beae the brunt if it!
     
  9. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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  10. Donal Cozzie
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    Donal Cozzie Tracer Bullet

    Nov 4, 2014
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    Disbelief, dismay and anger.

    Disbelief - that the UK would vote for this. However the UK is a separate country and if they want to, thats totally fine. We're not trying to stop them. We just want them to uphold their end of the GFA.

    Dismay - at the absolute crap being said about Ireland by many many prominent UK politicians, a timely reminder of why we never wanted to be ruled by them in the first place. From MP's threatening to starve us to gain leverage in negotiations, to MP's claiming "all English people are automatically entitled to Irish passports" to the ERG mob acting astonished that Ireland wont simply leave the EU, torpedo our own economy and join the UK to solve the border issue. We really are incredulous at the sheer scale of the ignorance. I could write thousands of words on this alone.

    Anger - At the absolute lies being spouted by people about how we are inventing the border problem, that technology can fix it, that we should know our place, that we are creating the problems, that we are causing the problem.

    In summary, no two parties in Irish politics ever, ever agree on anything. They constantly flip flop to appear in opposition to gain votes. But on Brexit, there is unanimous agreement from every single party, literally every single one, on how our government are approaching this. SF and FG are about as politically aligned as the PTI and the PMLN, yet on this they are united. Its pretty incredible to see such consensus.
     
  11. Donal Cozzie
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    Donal Cozzie Tracer Bullet

    Nov 4, 2014
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    People here are becoming increasingly worried about No Deal, but there is also , and always has been, a confidence that when push comes to shove a deal will be reached. The UK would be committing economic suicide with a no deal, only a matter of time before the DUP get thrown under a bus.

    And in the unlikely event of a No Deal? United Ireland within ten years, which solves the problem.
     
  12. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    RAmen to that.
     
  13. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    I have to say I'm little puzzled at the lack of interest on here and other places? I was under the impression bulk of members here and other places are UK citizens of south asian origin.
     
  14. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    so, May out on Tuesday?

    How did it come about that, the greta victory over EU, the current brexit deal, announced by Theresa May with fanfare in december has somehow become a EU dupe in matter of 3 months?

    Are british public daft enough to buy into this narrative?
     
  15. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    so much for the additional legal guarantee. Juncker says with May beside him that this deal has been on the table for 105 days.

    UK MP's would mungs to vote for this deal now after rejecting it in January.

     
  16. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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  17. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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  18. Donal Cozzie
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    Donal Cozzie Tracer Bullet

    Nov 4, 2014
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    Just keeps getting crazier and crazier.

    Wtf is happening to the UK
     
  19. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Plain lunacy.

    there are mistakes in life one can fix and those which cannot be fixed.

    Exiters are going to learn the hard way that #brexit is the latter.
     
  20. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    the lack of integrity around this whole thing is alarming.

    the whole developed world looks back to "old english law" on many issues which their laws are not designed to deal with and you have a 52:48 vote deciding on a complex issue, the consequences of which many of the elected official didn't understand.

    this would be funny as hell if it wasn't for real.
     
  21. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    any chance we can have a points trading system on the forum based on brexit predictions?

    Would make one hell of a drinking game
     
  22. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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  23. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Can't help conclude that UK is country of dumbfucks at this point.
     
  24. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    So how did cricistani's vote (if eligible) in the EU referendum! Let's hear hit
     
  25. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Leave means leave!

    Jmogg and boris can't seem to agree on what that leave is!

    Why does what DUP decides should guide jmogg?

    Utter basket case of a country
     
  26. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    what a shambolic excuse for a country.

    Can't believe they have a security council veto.
     
  27. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    any cricistani brexiters who can weigh in?
     
  28. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    any boris johnson fans around?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...-gatt-24-article-eu-trade-leave-a8996001.html

    The head of the World Trade Organisation has blown a hole in Boris Johnson’s Brexit plans as Conservative members vote on whether he should become party leader and prime minister.

    Mr Johnson has argued that if the UK crashes out of the EU without a deal on 31 October, businesses will still be able to continue tariff-free trade with Europe under an obscure trading law known as Gatt 24. Without this protection, thousands of goods traded between the UK and the EU would be subject to standard WTO tariffs, adding considerably to costs to consumers.

    But WTO director general Roberto Azevedo has now baldly stated that the mechanism – which his organisation oversees – cannot be invoked unless the parties involved have reached agreement on a future trade deal.
     
  29. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Gotta love Maajid!

    https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/present...7744iFGPFkLg7mo3Qo9KXBExUGfuCmlCbs7ydFlNCCs-4

    The Labour leader made a major speech this morning, promising to do everything necessary "to stop a disastrous no-deal Brexit".

    After listening to Mr Corbyn's speech, a wound-up Maajid let loose, insisting that Remainers simply don't trust the Labour leader to lead the country.

    Speaking while standing in for James O'Brien, Maajid said: "Mr Corbyn has done everything possible up until this point to thwart any Remain-backed plans. The man has been a Brexiter from before I was born.

    "In 1974, Jeremy Corbyn voted against European integration. And every single time the subject of European integration came up in Parliament since then, the man has voted against a ever closer union.

    [​IMG]
    Maajid Nawaz had strong words for Jeremy Corbyn. Picture: PA / LBC
    "So why should anyone believe that this man has suddenly found he's Remain conscience and wants to lead this nation back to the great and the good.

    "It is simply not plausible and remain backing MPs know this. Because the Remain-supporting MPs see through you. And they see through your transparency.

    "You're a Brexiter who hijacked the Labour Party, as your own deputy, Tom Watson realises, which is why he's spoken out so boldly against you.

    "So, yes, it's good that you will support a motion of no confidence against Boris Johnson. But it is not good, it is not good if you think you can then come in at this last stage at the 11th hour and lead the people that you betrayed.

    "We don't trust you Mr. Corbyn to stop Brexit, you are not a Remainer.

    "I'd rather have Ken Clarke than you, as the caretaker Prime Minister to stop Brexit. I'd rather have Dominic Grieve than you as the caretaker Prime Minister to stop Brexit.

    "Guess why? Because what matters to me more is that they supported remaining in the European Union, not that they are members of the Conservative Party.

    "You are tribal, and your tribal to your tribal faction within your tribe. It's like a sub-tribe, like a sect, led by people at Momentum. You just want to stop the Tories. We want to stop Brexit. They're not the same thing. They are different things.

    "And at the end of the day, at the end of the day, we all know that what you did is you betrayed the interests of this country for the narrow party political interests of the Corbyn-led Labour Party. And so what you're promising us now I'm afraid is too little and too late."
     
  30. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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  31. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-49558596

    The government is expected to table a motion to hold a general election on 14 October if it is defeated by MPs opposed to a no-deal Brexit on Tuesday.

    Boris Johnson said he did not want an election, but progress with the EU would be "impossible" if they won.

    Tory rebels are joining forces with Labour to bring a bill designed to stop the UK leaving the EU on 31 October without an agreement.

    It would force the PM to request a delay to 31 January 2020 in that event.

    Speaking outside No 10, Mr Johnson insisted that with MPs' backing, he would be able to achieve changes to the UK's current Brexit deal - negotiated by Theresa May and rejected three times in the Commons - at an EU summit on 17 October.
     
  32. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Theresa May after Boris lost control of the parliment. Is that glee on her face? LMAO. 1507.jpg
     
  33. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    @Donal Cozzie

    Did you BoJo's comment

    The people of NI are british but the cattle are Irish. Is he signalling he will throw DUP under the bus?
     
  34. Donal Cozzie
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    Donal Cozzie Tracer Bullet

    Nov 4, 2014
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    I've said from day one they will and I still think they'll try.

    Thatcher did it in the heyday of the conflict also.
     
  35. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    I heard that if NI gets to be in the single market as Brexit compromise, Scotland might ask for the same. So what are they going to do? put a border between Scotland and rest of UK?

    Utter comedy!
     
  36. Donal Cozzie
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    Donal Cozzie Tracer Bullet

    Nov 4, 2014
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    UK will break up if Brexit happens. Its a guarantee.
     
  37. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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  38. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

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  39. pat
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    pat Emerging Player

    Nov 25, 2018
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    Can't make this stuff up.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politic...prised-by-level-of-irish-border-checks-brexit

    Boris Johnson 'surprised' by level of Irish border checks
    EU sources say PM seemed taken aback when shown implications of his Brexit plan

    Boris Johnson expressed surprise to his advisers during lunch with Jean-Claude Juncker as he was informed about the scale of checks still needed on the island of Ireland under his alternative plan for the Irish border, according to EU sources.

    The two-hour lunch in Luxembourg was said by both sides to have been “positive” but EU officials conceded the advantage for them had been in being able to spell out the problems directly to the prime minister. “It seems to have helped the penny drop,” said one diplomatic source.

    Will Corbyn’s Brexit referendum strategy work? Our panel responds
    Polly Toynbee, Tom Kibasi, Giles Wilkes, Lisa Nandy
    [​IMG]
    Read more
    During talks with Juncker and the EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, the prime minister was shown in detail how allowing Northern Ireland to stick to common EU rules on food and livestock, known as sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS),would still fail to avoid checks on the vast majority of goods that cross the Irish border.

    Downing Street has described as “nonsense” a report in the Financial Times that Johnson turned to his chief negotiator, David Frost, and the Brexit secretary, Stephen Barclay, and said: “So you’re telling me the SPS plan doesn’t solve the customs problem?”

    But senior EU sources speaking to the Guardian confirmed that Johnson had expressed surprise during the lunch at the complexity of the situation, and that it appeared to have been a “bit of a reality check to hear it from EU officials”.

    Sources said it was not the case that Johnson had failed to understand the role of the shared customs territory in the Irish backstop but that it was the scale of checks that would still be necessary without such an arrangement that appeared to hit home.

    A second EU diplomat confirmed: “When the commission explained the technical challenges and enduring need for customs checks under the UK proposals, Johnson expressed surprise in the direction of his advisers.”

    In his address to the European parliament on Wednesday, Juncker hinted at the problems that remained. “I have no emotional attachment to the backstop,” Juncker said of his talks with Johnson. “But I made clear that I do have an intimate commitment to its objectives.”

    Given the wide gap between the two sides, Juncker also expressed doubts about the possibility that a mutually agreeable replacement for the Irish backstop would be agreed before 31 October when Johnson has said the UK will leave, “do or die”.
     

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