PML-N to sweep 2018 elections: The Economist

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  1. Del
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    Del Cornered Tiger

    Dec 21, 2016
    12,052
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    The ruling Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz (PML-N) is heading to secure another five years term after the general elections due to be held in 2018, said a report published in London based leading weekly magazine The Economist.

    The report said that PML-N would win the elections as it was buoyed by infrastructure investments and fairly smooth economic trajectory. And the ruling party also enjoys the advantages of incumbency.

    However, The Economist observed that the business environment will remain difficult and reform will progress slowly, but the economy will respond to relative stability and maintain healthy growth.

    According to the report, the rupee is due a depreciation, but this will be delayed until after the election. Country’s GDP growth is 5.5 percent, GDP per head is $1,661, Inflation is 3.8 percent, budget balance is -4.6 percent of the GDP and population of the country is 200.8 million .

    In the National Assembly, PML-N holds 189 seats, 55% of the total 342, while the opposition Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), co-led by Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, son of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto, holds 47 seats. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), led by Imran Khan, holds 33.



    PPP won the 2008 general elections after leader Benazir Bhutto was gunned down during the campaign, but lost steam due to political failures. The party was working to regain power under the leadership of Bilawal and Asif Ali Zardari, but that would require increased support in its own stronghold in Sindh, as well as making inroads in Punjab, the PML-N heartland that was home to more than half the country’s population.

    PTI made major strides in the last general election, but public opinion was turning. As one Pakistani businessman put it, “They lost people’s support due to agitation politics, including months long sit-in at the parliament.”

    Highlighting the government’s strong performance in economy, the Journal said Pakistan had recently witnessed significant improvements in its infrastructure and energy sectors, helped in part by the downward trend in oil prices.

    In August 2017, the country completed the International Monetary Fund’s Extended Fund Facility programme, which provided $6.4 billion in financial aid over three years on condition the country undertakes certain reforms, including fiscal austerity and privatisation measures. Macroeconomic indexes were up across the board, and relations with the US and the wider international community had improved.

    It said the public order, which had long plagued the entire country, was normalising thanks to the military’s anti-terrorism campaign.
    Although it could only be described as reaching the halfway point in its efforts to promote exports and manufacturing, reform the tax cod and privatise state-run companies, Pakistan’s recovery was undoubtedly gathering pace.

    For fiscal year 2017, the country was confidently projecting growth above 5%. The consumer price index, which for a time saw double-digit annual growth, fell to 2.9% on average in fiscal 2016. The government’s annual deficit had fallen from 8.2% in fiscal 2013 to 4.6% of GDP.

    Under Nawaz Sharif, Asian Review said, the ruling PML-N had
    focused on building infrastructure and public transportation systems. It had also made certain progress, mainly in its stronghold of Punjab, developing agricultural areas and addressing unemployment. The centerpiece of its political campaign was the China Pakistan Economic Corridor project, a comprehensive infrastructure programme relying on financial help from China.

    Investment in CPEC projects totals $51 billion, mainly for the building of power plants, but also encompassing roads, ports, railroads and airports, and offers hope of spurring industry nationwide.

    “There’s a significant improvement both on the economic and security sides. Democracy is also taking roots,” said Arif Habib, CEO of leading conglomerate Arif Habib group, when asked about the performance of the Sharif administration. “The media is free, and the judiciary system is also improving,” he added.

    Abdul Aleem, secretary-general of the Overseas Investors Chamber of Commerce and Industry, comprising 195 foreign companies and other organisations, said, “The government is very strong,” although “commodity prices, especially oil, are the biggest risk.”

    Efforts to privatise Pakistan International Airlines and the essentially bankrupt Pakistan Steel Mills are also deadlocked. In the second half of 2017, Pakistan moved into the election campaign season, it became difficult to cut spending, not only on infrastructure but on development in rural areas, health care and education. One senior foreign diplomat in Pakistan said, “It can only keep on running on
    this force until the 2018 general election.”

    Link: https://tribune.com.pk/story/1608937/1-pml-n-sweep-2018-elections-report/
     
  2. Patriot
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    Patriot Kaptaan

    Oct 8, 2014
    25,403
    another 5 years of Dharnas, media releases and bullshits
     
  3. Del
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    Del Cornered Tiger

    Dec 21, 2016
    12,052
    PML-N is a Punjabi party and Im okay if people of Punjab wants to re-elect them. However, the whole country shouldnt have to go through this torture (PML-N Fedetal Gov) again - they shouldn't be impose on all the country.

    What these Noora's are in Punjab is exactly what Zardari regime is in Sindh, there is no difference in both of these two. We've seen this crook Takla Nawaz and his Gov for 3rd time, and previously has seen what Zardi did. Don't want to see either of these again as next PM.
     
  4. iAd
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    iAd Sultan of Swing

    Nov 9, 2012
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    What a BS article. There is no way any one of the three major parties in sweeping elections and forming a majority government.

    At this point in time with corruption cases in accountability courts nearing their conclusion and the fall of the Balochistan government you'll end up with a PMLN-PPP coalition government with PTI having a healthy number of seats.

    Now in the case the courts convict or acquit the Sharif family the situation completely changes. But this perception that PMLN will sweep elections is completely false.
     
  5. godzilla
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    godzilla Talented

    May 12, 2016
    2,916
    did Nawaz's only English literate relative write this bs article?

    improving economy? the one that fitch just put on a negative watch rating?

    he may be correct that they win again, but not for those reasons.
     
  6. Mohan
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    Mohan Formerly 'Captain Clutch'

    Nov 4, 2014
    4,109
    So Hafiz Saeed saheb stands no chance at all?

    I am hoping for him to win. That would be a massive troll on Donald Trump. :D
     
  7. godzilla
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    godzilla Talented

    May 12, 2016
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  8. Del
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    Del Cornered Tiger

    Dec 21, 2016
    12,052
    What else you would except from a Gov. which is fulled with crooks and incompetent buffoons.
     
  9. godzilla
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    godzilla Talented

    May 12, 2016
    2,916
    I wouldnt be surprised if they win again, or stay in power in a weak coalition. the sh*t is flying towards the fan with increasing speed.
     
  10. iAd
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    iAd Sultan of Swing

    Nov 9, 2012
    16,721
    Anyone who is predicting what will happen in elections months from now is shooting in the dark. Hell they haven't even decided which month elections are going to be held.

    If elections were to happen tomorrow however (with the Sharif & Dar cases still undecided) here would be my predictions:

    Federal: No party gets an absolute majority. PMLN-PPP coalition government with PTI as the largest opposition party

    Balochistan: PPP & National Party coalition government with PkMAP as the largest opposition

    Sindh: PPP majority government (maybe coalition with MQM) with PTI or MQM as largest opposition

    KP: PTI coalition government with JUIF as largest opposition

    Punjab: PMLN majority government with PTI as largest opposition.

    But even my predictions are uncertain since many factors can come into play which can turn the tide against or for any party.

    To name a few of those factors:

    - Corruption cases against Nawaz Sharif, Maryam Nawaz, Hassan and Hussain Nawaz
    - Corruption cases against Ishaq Dar
    - Investigation into corruption cases against Shahbaz Sharif & Khawaja Saad Rafique of PMLN, Aleem Khan of PTI, Gilani & Raja Pervaiz Ashraf of PPP
    - Yet to be seen effects of the fall of the PMLN Government in Balochistan
    - Multiple cases in Supreme Court of Pakistan in which Punjab, Sindh & KP are all getting vilified.
    - ect.
     
  11. Passionate Pakistani
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    Passionate Pakistani The Don

    Jun 10, 2011
    68,210
    No bigger troll than Modi as India Pm

    Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
     
  12. Passionate Pakistani
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    Passionate Pakistani The Don

    Jun 10, 2011
    68,210
    Lol and you know about everything all constituencies, all candidates.. givinh analysis and predictions about all provices lol

    Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
     
  13. Mohan
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    Mohan Formerly 'Captain Clutch'

    Nov 4, 2014
    4,109
    Lol how?

    He is given a red carpet welcome wherever he goes, including Muslim countries. He even takes selfies inside the Mecca.
     
  14. Passionate Pakistani
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    Passionate Pakistani The Don

    Jun 10, 2011
    68,210
    Doesnt matter who gives him red carpet or Green carpet or take selfies or portraits. He is a bigger terrorist than all

    Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
     
  15. Mohsin
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    Mohsin Cornered Tiger

    Feb 21, 2010
    14,443
    This is difficult considering Non-Muslims cant enter Makkah, political or aam
     
  16. Mohan
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    Mohan Formerly 'Captain Clutch'

    Nov 4, 2014
    4,109
    That's your opinion. The world doesn't agree with that though. Which country has declared him a terrorist?
     
  17. Del
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    Del Cornered Tiger

    Dec 21, 2016
    12,052
    Everyone in Pakistan knows that Altaf Hussain is a terrorist. His anti state speeches and activities have been revealed many times, he spat venom numerously against the state, but yet he's not declared "terrorist". So in spite of everything, just because he's not declared as "terrorist", should we start believing that he's a saint?

    Not everything is this world needs prove, sometime one needs to use some sense in his head (if he has some) to connect the dots.

    I'm not defending Hafiz Saeed but Modi is no angle either.
     

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